The war in Sudan awaits Al-Buruji?! – The face of truth – ✍️ Ibrahim Shaqlawi
“Will the war really end next March, as announced by General Malek Aqar, vice-president of the Sovereignty Council?
A simple question, but one that carries with it the complexity of the Sudanese scene. When a friend suggested it to me, he drew his sincerity from a Sudanese reality exhausted by war and from a stuck dream of long-awaited peace. My response, which I share with you here, is only a reflection of a clear fact: the war will not end in political declarations or media expectations, but rather in decisive decisions worked out on the ground. So this is the statement of Malik Aqar. has opened the door to many questions about the degree of realism of this scenario and the extent of its connection with military data on the ground. The Sudanese army clearly relies on military determination. It is a question of lifting the siege of the Signal Corps and the command of the army, to reestablish total control over the country, because this siege constitutes a direct challenge for the coordination of operations and the management of battles, even to engage negotiations.
However, the end of the war was not only linked to military superiority, but rather to the political will to reshape the national scene. In the absence of a global political consensus and continued regional and international interventions, optimistic statements seem closer to tactical messages than indicators of an expected reality. It is not expected, even illogical, for the army to resort to negotiation before lifting the siege of these two strategic bastions. The siege imposed since the beginning of the fighting has become a symbolic and practical obstacle, which reinforces the need to achieve a breakthrough on the ground which paves the way for the end of the war.
We must therefore know that in the literature on armies, there are limits which cannot be conceded and values which are not subject to bargaining, the most important of which is the symbolism of the military headquarters. These sites are not simple military installations, but rather a symbol of state sovereignty and the prestige of the military. Thus, breaking the siege imposed on these points becomes an existential question for the Sudanese army. Therefore, the war that began with the siege of the general command seems to be heading towards its end on the same path: by lifting the siege and restoring full control over the capital, Khartoum. What adds great dimension to this battle is that the overall command, with the symbolism it carries, has become a testing point for the army's steadfastness and its insistence on ending the rebellion on its own terms, far from international pressure.
As a result, the military operations carried out by the army in Bahri and Shambat have great strategic implications. The move toward more flexible tactics that rely on infantry supported by marches and preemptive strikes to resupply the enemy and neutralize leadership, capabilities, and communications system shows that the military is aware of the nature combat in urban warfare. The militia's withdrawal from strategic locations, such as Al-Maouna and Al-Khattiya Street, is not only a victory on the ground, but also an indication of its declining capacity to resist successive strikes by the army.
These withdrawals, coupled with the obvious progress on several axes, notably towards the Signal Corps camp and linking it to the General Command, in addition to the progression of the Armored Corps and its opening within the limits of responsibility, show that the army is in movement. according to a well-thought-out plan, aimed not only at achieving gains on the ground, but also at reshaping the military map and war policy.
Furthermore, Malek Agar's statements on US sanctions, calling them malicious, highlight another dimension of the conflict, namely international intervention and its impact on the course of the war. Sudan, which suffers from a long legacy of sanctions since 1999, has realized that these pressures are nothing more than a tool to dismantle state cohesion and weaken its negotiating position. However, Aqar's statements calling on the people to stand together show that he is aware of the need to exploit this critical moment to strengthen national unity and overcome political differences, away from internal or external polarization.
Akar's admission of violations committed during the war also adds a dimension of credibility and reminds us that wars, whatever their goals, are fought by humans and not angels. This recognition can form the basis of future national reconciliation, if treated seriously and responsibly.
In this context, future scenarios oscillate between resolution and settlement. These hypotheses can be presented as follows: A complete military resolution, that is, the army continues its advance and regains full control of the capital and strategic sites, thus ending the war. its terms.
The second is conditional negotiation: in the event of major victories on the ground, new negotiation conditions can be imposed to ensure the end of the conflict while preserving the unity of the state. Without submitting to regional and international blackmail. The third is the continuation of the war for a long period of time. If outside support for the Rapid Support Militia continues, the war could turn into a long drag that exhausts all sides. This hypothesis, given the regional and international trend calling for an end to wars. the region, becomes improbable, but this requires a good operational reality on the ground.
Despite the escalation on the ground, there remains hope that this war will lead to lasting peace. But this peace will not be achieved without addressing the roots of the crisis that led to the war, whether by building the rule of law or strengthening political participation to include all Sudanese.
Based on these stories, the Sudanese people wait for the sound of brass emanating from this soldier, as if asking history to bow. The tower that rises above the army's general command flagpole is not only an official announcement of the end of the war, but rather the embodiment of a long battle during which the nation triumphed over the conspiracy and through which his army built an epic. dignity that deserves to be immortalized. It is a voice whose echoes reverberate throughout history and geography, crossing the Nile to every Sudanese home, telling everyone that the country is united again and that the flag will remain raised, telling of the greatness of the Sudanese people who thwarted the biggest conspiracy in their modern history. This is the answer and this is the face of truth.
May you always be well.
Wednesday January 22, 2025 AD. (email protected)
