Did the Jeddah Forum: Has the land tank ate its coordination? – The face of the truth – ✍️ Ibrahim Shaqlawi
The Sudanese arena has undergone major transformations on the ground in recent weeks, while the Sudanese army has progressed in the battle to regain control of the capital, Khartoum, of the grip of the rapid support militia. In this context, it raises an important question: will the Jeddah platform be an effective way to achieve security and peace in Sudan after the fragment of rebellion, or was it neglected? In this article, we are trying to discuss the importance of Sudan’s transition from the state of war to the rehabilitation of peace, with a visionary reading to the importance of folding the militia file so that the country is endowed Security in a way that allows you to build a better future for Sudanese.
On May 11, 2023, the Sudanese army and the rapid support militia signed an agreement in the city of Djeddah, Saudi Arabia, under the auspices of the United States of America and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, with the purpose To put the war, while the agreement approved the abolition of the rapid support militia for civil notables and evacuating the houses of the citizens, as well as the opening of the humanitarian corridors. The agreement also stipulated the assembly of forces in the camps to dismiss or integrate them into the Sudanese army in accordance with the law of the army. Despite the importance of these elements, the rapid support militia has refrained from implementing them and has extended its control in several areas, including the state of the island and other cities such as Sinja and Jabal Moya .
After the army has succeeded in restoring these areas and controlling the strategic areas of Khartoum, including nautical districts and the center of Khartoum, as well as the breakdown of the siege on the signal weapon and general leadership and catering Jelly and Sika Currency Company refinery. These military gains arrive at a sensitive moment, with signals indicating the end of the reign of the rapid support militia in the capital.
Sources of security also indicate that the rapid support militia has started to release hundreds of prisoners and detainees in its prisons, in order to alleviate the internal pressure in the light of continuous military defeats, while the general to brigadier Nabil Abdullah, army spokesperson, underlined great progress in Khartoum, pointing to the cleanliness of vital areas such as hospitals and public services.
On the other hand, the commander of the Al -Bara Bin Malik Al -Misbah brigade, Abu Zaid, launched a serious warning to the quick support militia, fixing only 12 hours in front of her to leave the capital, Khartoum, before ‘Army began the second stage of military operations. This threat reflects the growing confidence of the Sudanese armed forces after a series of victories in the field inside and outside the capital.
The militia and his supporters hoped that the Jeddah agreement would give them the opportunity to maneuver, believing that he would provide them with a truce to reorganize their ranks and bring more weapons and mercenaries. However, the reality followed other than what they were planning, because the Sudanese army imposed new facts which brought the agreement of a defeat declaration closer to a political regulation.
Consequently, Jeddah does not negotiate between two forces, but rather a meeting that attracts the path of surrender, with an opportunity for the militia to embellish its fall with the sentence “we agreed” instead of “we defeated “. Nevertheless, she could not even adhere to the results of the agreement because her real objective was not peace, but rather saved time, but her accounts were false, therefore all that she was looking for and the stages of Its inevitable end accelerated.
In the light of this military military progress, which has met the collapse of the militia, according to military experts, international and regional pressures to end the conflict in Sudan increases, in particular with the month approaching Ramadan . In this context, the efforts of Türkiye and Egypt to provide mediation, while the Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan announced close coordination with Cairo in order to end the clashes before Ramadan. For its part, the United Arab Emirates previously confirmed its support for Turkish mediation to combine it with Sudan, and the leaks were after having spoken of mutual conditions in addition to the Egyptian efforts which take place behind the scenes revealed by a visit From the Egyptian president Abdel Fattah El -Sisi to Abu Dhabi earlier as well as previous statements also for the Saudi Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Gulf Cooperation Council, the need to make peace in Sudan.
These efforts coincide with the growing international isolation of the rapid support militia, which faces growing criticism for violations committed by its forces in Darfur and in other fields. The international claims to open the door to negotiation with the Sudanese government to implement the terms of the Jeddah platform agreement reflects the growing pressure on the militia in order to return to the negotiation table. This is added to a hadith nominated in the Sudanese political scene that the militia has announced its acceptance of the implementation of the Jeddah agreement for the safety arrangements of the strong pressure on the ground which began to suffer from the ‘Army in all the axes of the fighting.
Given these efforts, there is an important factor which must be seen in mind, which is the dominant feelings between the Sudanese who tend to support military determination at the expense of negotiations, where this trend can be understood in the Context of the vast and strict strict, violations committed by the rapid support militia. Sudanese citizens were exposed to war crimes which include mass murder, forced displacement and deliberate destruction of civil facilities, according to human rights organizations, which have left a deep impact on mass memory of the people. This reality has encouraged many Sudanese to believe that military decisions is the only way to achieve justice and to end their continuous suffering.
However, there are regional and international experiences that show that negotiations can occur even in the event of military superiority to ensure the sustainability of peace and reconstruction obligations, for example: the Vietnam War (1973): although the American forces are in the withdrawal phase after having undergone heavy losses, negotiations between America, northern Vietnam, continued under pressure from the international community in order to avoid more military climbing in the region And not to go back to war.
Likewise in the Bosnian War (1992-1995): despite the military superiority of the Bosnian forces, the Dieton peace agreement was concluded at the end of the war due to the international and international pressure aimed at ending the conflict and to restore regional stability in addition to ensuring reconstruction.
Consequently, according to what we see in the face of the truth, the chances of bringing the Jeddah platform back to the avant-garde depend on the approval of the militia and its supporters of the defeat, to implement the Provisions of the military agreement linked to demobilization and reintegration in addition to strengthening international and regional pressure to ensure the reconstruction and sustainability of peace, or to let this eat the land reservoir of its coordination.
You are fine and well.
Saturday February 8, 2025 AD (Protected by e-mail)
