The advancement of the army restored by the Sudanese scene – the face of the truth – ✍️ Ibrahim Shaqlawi
While the war in Sudan approaches its second year, the political and military arena is witnessing to accelerate developments, in particular progress on the ground made by the Sudanese army in several axes, in particular the axis of Khartoum, which has led to clear transformations in the positions of many countries and the international organization towards the Sudanese crisis. Many regional and international forces have become more inclined to support the legitimate government and reject any attempt to train parallel political entities. In this context, we will discuss in this article the way in which the momentum of military victories is reflected on the map of international positions, and the extent of this impact on the layout of the scene and the demarcation of the future of politically and security.
In light of these balanced military developments, the United Nations Secretary General of Sudan, Ramtan Amamra, stressed the need to unify political efforts to overcome the crisis, transmitting the United Nations to host the roadmap provided by the Sudanese government to manage the “News” transition period. Amamra stressed that the solution should respect the sovereignty of Sudan and the unity of its land, and is based on the common political will of the parties to the conflict. This position reflects an important change in international discourse, because many countries and organizations have become more acceptable to the role of the Sudanese government as a major actor in the future of the country.
This international trend is integrated into clear regional positions, because the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Qatar have confirmed its rejection of any measure which takes place outside the legal frameworks of the Sudanese State, which indicates clear Arab support to national institutions. The Egyptian position has also come to be decisive against attempts to form a parallel government, because the Egyptian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Badr Abdel -Ati, stressed that “the regional security of Sudan represents a red line”, stressing the importance of supporting reconstruction efforts with active Egyptian participation.
This reflects the vision of Cairo from the crisis from a strategic, security and economic point of view. “The Middle East” also came the position of the Secretary General of the Arab States League in accordance with this, as well as the position of the Turkish government, which confirmed by its Ministry of Foreign Affairs its concern concerning the continuous climbing of the conflict and the deterioration of the humanitarian situation in Sudan. In a statement, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has renewed its call to the ceasefire and abstain from all the stages that would affect the unity of Sudan, the integrity, the sovereignty and the independence of its land.
At the meeting of the United Nations Security Council, which was held on February 26, 2025, several countries, including the United States, Great Britain, France and China, expressed concern about the “rapid support militia”, its intention to form a parallel government in its controlled areas, warning that this stage could lead to the division of Sudan by virtue of the fact. This unified international position against any alternative political entity reflects the extent of the influence of victories in the field of the army in the evolution of international accounts.
Despite these positive transformations in international positions, there are still major challenges in which Sudan is confronted. The most important thing is the military challenge of continuing the battles and its impact on the stability of the capital, Khartoum and other cities, because the Sudanese army depends on the progress of the field to restore control, and this has caused remarkable progress despite the bet of the militia on the tactics of the city war.
Also the political challenge: despite the international recognition of the roadmap presented by the government, certain opposition forces, such as the “Samoud” coalition, whose characteristics of its entities have not become clear, according to Maryam Al -Mahdi, who sees that the UN is supporting any discourse on a political process remains up to a period of time the battle of liberation and dignity is complete. With their implicit agreement on Sudanese dialogue.
It also highlights the economic challenge, because Sudan suffers from a suffocating economic crisis, with the deterioration of the local currency and high inflation, which makes international support for reconstruction efforts, important and crucial to mitigate the effects of war and ininfrastructure and services.
In the context, it is possible to benefit from the experiences of other countries which have witnessed parallel governments during armed conflicts, for example in Libya, the political division between two competing governments has led to the deepening of the crisis, while international forces have strengthened the influence of the various parties, which led to continuous conflict for years without effective solutions. Likewise in Yemen, the presence of a parallel government which controls large areas has led to obstructing the peace efforts and the complexity of the political scene, a scenario that the international community in Sudan warns.
Based on this data, the international position seems to be oriented towards strengthening the legitimacy of the current Sudanese government, while tightening the screws on the militia by refusing to recognize any alternative political entity. This transformation can lead to the reconstruction of political sales, as recent developments indicate an increase in international support for rapid support forces in exchange for strengthening government legitimacy.
In the light of this scene, and according to what we see of the truth, it is planned that the coming period will attend an escalation on the ground with the continuous confrontation between the Sudanese army and the militias at the release of the Republican Palace and Khartoum, which is encountered by an intense diplomatic decision to close all political outlets before parallel entities. But the real challenge in the ability of Sudan to invest this international support remains to rebuild the State, to achieve stability and to restore security and peace far from the partition or possible chaos scenarios.
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Sunday March 2, 2025 AD (Protected by e-mail)
