Iran is between threats and transformations: when politics is exposed to the uterus of geography and belief! ✍️ Human Rights Police team, Mahmoud section
In the light of the climbing of challenges at the region, Iran is no longer this isolated country which is satisfied with crisped crises and rhetoric. Rather, it has become – due to geopolitical pressures, Western sanctions and internal popular agitation – faced with a real test: either its exclusive sectarian and political approach, or to face the complete isolation of its neighbors and even its traditional allies.
The new reality – in particular after the confused policy of America in the region – imposed on the Gulf States, the most important of which is the kingdom of Saudi Arabia, to re -evaluate its strategic priorities. Bold reconciliation with Iran came with Chinese mediation to send a double message:
While some Western countries fear Iran … Today, we break this restriction and open the doors of conditional understanding, under the aegis of the balance of interests, and not of dependence. “”
* Threats impose a policy … no slogans *
Safety variables on the Iranian border, from Afghanistan in difficulty to motivated Azerbaijan, and from Iraq to the repealed Gulf, forced the Teheran to curb its revolutionary and even to contract a discourse, so that some of the symbols of the Iranian regime began to withdraw – exorbitant tactical.
_ The all-powerful said: Without God, the people would not have been paid, some of them, with the earth, the earth would be spoiled.
(Surat al -Baqarah: _ 251)
With this divine stiffness – politically, economically and security – the scales are reversed, and political realism is imposed on the parties who thought that time takes place on its only orbit.
* China … The new Garde * agreement *
The Chinese dragon entered the heart of the east Arab, not as an economic tourist, but as a “guarantor mediator” for a new equation in the Gulf. Its role was crucial in the signing of the Riyadh -Tehran agreement, as a first step towards a calm that includes Yemen, Lebanon and perhaps Syria later.
This Chinese role redistributed the documents, in particular with the drop in the American presence, which has become occupied with internal files and in East Asia.
* New Saudi Arabia … and the formulation of reality
Today, the kingdom said in diplomatic language fat *:
We are not hostile to anyone, but we will not allow anyone to be hostile to our stability, by proxy or by sectarian discourse. “”
This weighted position had Iran realized that the time of exporting the revolution ended and that the time of respect for the neighborhood and calm began.
* Conclusion*:
Iran is not only forced to change its behavior, but also to change its discourse, whether in its political or seminar platforms. The challenges are no longer limited to a nuclear file or an economic seat, but have rather reached a credible crisis in the Islamic world.
And if Tehran does not absorb this transformation, the year of Stampede will work, and it will not remain so from the papers other than late concessions … after it is too late.
