It’s time for Sudan to dance on the heads of snakes – the face of truth – ✍️ Ibrahim Shaqlawi
Dancing on the heads of snakes is a famous saying associated with the late Yemeni president Ali Abdullah Saleh, in his description of a complex political reality which required the management of precise and external sales. Today, the sentence is almost applied to the Sudanese scene, in the midst of major regional transformations which reshape the balance of powers in the Middle East. The war between Iran and Israel, whatever its places, express a new step in which the interests are linked, and the influence tools are varied, because the military confrontation is part of a broader strategic project which restarts regional domination cards in the region.
In this context, Sudan is found in a very sensitive location, in which internal challenges intersect with accelerated regional conflicts, which is one of the equations that exceed its limits.
The American movement in the region comes, supported by unconditional support in Israel, funding war through the Gulf powers – according to observers – within the framework of a project to re -enclose the regional system and the production of new Arab political systems, which are not satisfied with loyalty, but rather integrate into the standardization project according to the Ibrahimi project. It is only necessary for pro-reglementation regulations, but also political and cultural structures which identify with an Israeli-American conception of the region, rehabilitating the region in accordance with the criteria of gentle domination and sustainable control.
In the midst of these variables, Sudan appears as an exceptional state which has promising strategic potential, if it is preferable to use regional balances and play on sewing lines with prudence and intelligence. Despite open internal injuries and the complexity of political and social crises, Sudan has a very important geopolitical site, huge natural and human resources, and a regional location connecting it to the African century, in the Environment of the Red Sea and Gulf Pabille at the same time. And if some regional actors are threatened to melt or fall into systematic chaos, then Sudan, if the best arrangement of his inner house is capable of transforming a state which was on the fringes of the conflict in a central state influencing post-conflict equations.
With the expansion of war in the Gulf, its high cost and the growing possibility of collapse in some countries, Sudan can become the nearest destination and most capable of receiving enormous human and economic flows, whether from its citizens who come back from there, or Arabs who can lead them to immigration in search of missing security. These waves expected of Arab displacement and the Gulf towards Sudan can be formed, if they are consciously managed, a huge economic crane which contributes to moving the production wheel, to extend the local market, to increase the demand for services, goods and housing, as well as the possibility of investing in promising capital in promising sectors, agriculture, energy and chéri.
The next regional transformation is not limited to the economy, but extends to the structure of security in the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa. And if Sudan succeeds in restoring stability, its army – with its combat efficiency – can turn into a regional pillar to maintain balance. With the decline in the roles of the Gulf, the value of Sudan increases as a strategic actor, and his army becomes a part required in regional security equations, in order to improve its political influence and negotiated at a time when engineering in the region is re -embellished.
But all the scenarios remain mortgaged by the ability of Sudan to capture its historic moment, as an opportunity to establish a new strategic path. Success depends on the action studied, to avoid cloning the experiences of the past and to have a rational national vision which goes beyond the divisions and establishes an active and not effective state. This requires leadership that achieves the sensitivity of timing and adopts its foreign policies on silent pragmatism a balance between national interests and regional influence, far from slogans and ideological polarization.
Sudan is no longer a marginal actor in the region, but has rather become a strategic center at the heart of geopolitical transformations underway. The new cards are fired behind the scenes, and the void left by the decline of the influence of the Gulf in the Red Sea must be filled. And if Sudan does not initiate it, then others will do so.
Consequently, the moment requires a rational strategic consciousness, which goes beyond emotional stories and the past in wounds, and realizes that major transformations – no matter how destroyed – have the chances of those who are intelligent and realistic.
Depending on what we see from the face of the truth, it is time for Sudan to dance on the heads of snakes. It is not an reckless risk, but rather in response to the nature of the historic moment which does not allow retirement or expectation. Snakes move, the cards are re-Drawn and the interests change. And whoever has the ability to walk on tight strings without falling, it is the one that will have a part of the manufacture and writing of history. Perhaps Sudan, with its geostrategic weight, is in front of a different door, which is not open by power alone, but rather its lock is open with reason, vision and insight.
You are fine and well
Tuesday May 24, 2025 ad shglawi55@gmail.com
