The African Union: Diplomacy of the sales – The face of the truth – ✍️ Ibrahim Shaqlawi
The Sudanese army approaching a decisive victory over the rapid support militia and resuming control of the country, attention is focused on the African Union and its role at this stage in the history of Sudan. When the organization is preparing to organize an extraordinary summit in mid-February to discuss the situation in Sudan, it highlights fundamental questions about its position on the crisis, its intervention will be positively to support the existing government, or everything Simply a new attempt to manage the crisis without obtaining concrete results? This decision also raises questions about union intentions. Does he already seek to support the Sudanese state, or is it pressure for a political settlement that could give the militia new opportunities to reorganize its ranks? In this article, we approach the political and military changes that occur in Sudan and its impact on the position of the African Union to take advanced measures towards Sudan.
As we know, the War of Sudan, with its local and regional repercussions, reformulates the balance of powers within the African continent and with the Sudanese army approaching the restoration of state control, a fundamental question highlights : How do Sudanese see the role of the African Union at this critical stage? Can continental organization provide an active solution? Or will he be satisfied with the gray situations that have printed his relations with the previous African crises?
Since the outbreak of war in Sudan, the African Union has adopted an approach to call for political dialogue and a cease-fire, but it has not played a decisive role in the prevention of climbing or the Limitation of external interference. Despite the efforts made by the Supreme Committee of the African Union on Sudan and coordination with the IGAD and the Arab States League, the position of the Union has remained weak compared to countries such as Egypt and Egypt and Egypt and Saudi Arabia, which has provided more influential initiatives in the negotiation path.
In light of this performance which adopts the diplomacy of miserable sales, holding an exceptional summit can be a late attempt to prove the presence of the organization, in particular after the successes on the ground obtained by the Sudanese army. And if the summit aims to develop a roadmap to restore security and peace for the Sudanese, then the question that is essential: any political act that can achieve it and be acceptable to Sudan at this stage, but its membership Complete to the organization is restored and supported the government's efforts in political dialogue and the restoration of security, especially since the army approaches the end of the rebellion.
While some international parties seek to impose a political regulation, the position of the Sudanese government seems firmer, because Khartoum officials claim that the dialogue should be a “Sudanese -sudanese”, far from any external dictate. This means that the African Union has a real challenge: it will deal with Sudan as a sovereign country that decides, or will he try to impose a regulation model which is not proportional to The new military and political reality?
In addition, one of the decisive questions that will face at the top of the African Union is the question of external interference in the Sudanese conflict. While the Peace and Security Council has ordered an undercomitment to investigate the parties that support the belligerent factions, no deterrents were taken to countries that have provided militias with weapons and logistical support. He must have the serious African Union to achieve permanent stability in Sudan, he must therefore recognize that the Sudanese crisis is not only an internal conflict, but rather an existential war imposed by the regional and international powers that the position of Sudan must be supported to condemn it to the United Nations.
The spectator of the African Union is experimenting in the end of conflicts: it is clearly noted that the Sudanese crisis was not the first test of the African Union in the treatment of armed conflicts within the continent, because he previously played Variable roles in the management of the crisis in countries such as countries such as Rwanda, Burundi, Mali and Ethiopia. Not all of them were decisive, for example, in Rwanda (1994), the African Union did not prevent the genocide which cost the life of around 800,000 people due to the lack of political will.
In Burundi (2003-2005), the Federation was faced with difficulties in imposing lasting solutions due to the complexity of the internal political scene. In Mali (2012-2013), the Federation was satisfied to condemn the military coup and French intervention, but it did not provide a pure African initiative to resolve the conflict, which made the crisis manage in depending on international agendas more than African solutions.
These experiences reveal that the interventions of the African Union were not decisive, because they lack real tools to impose solutions or ensure their implementation. If he wants to have an influence in Sudan, he must go beyond his traditional role as a simple neutral mediator, and adopt a clear position which preserves the unity of the country and prevents any equivalent attempt under the pretext of unrealistic political colonies.
Faced with these data, the Sudanese national forces work to develop a national dialogue project which guarantees the representation of all the actors without exception by stipulating the legal examinations of all those who have led the law of the Sudanese people, and if the African Union wants Be part of the solution, he must examine his previous policies which wanted to promote certain parties imposed on the Sudanese without authorization at the expense of Sudanese national security. He must also be aware that Sudan does not need more meetings and recommendations, but rather real support which strengthens state institutions and prevents any attempt to recycle chaos or to produce the crisis again.
According to what we see of The Truth, the next summit of the African Union represents a real test of the credibility of the organization in the treatment of the Sudanese war. If it wants to prove its severity, it must adopt a standing position for the stability of Sudan as a unified country, far from the soft solutions that do not deal with the roots of the problem. Will the African Union be at the level of the challenge, or its traditional policy based on the content of crises instead of solving them?
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Wednesday February 5, 2025 AD. (Protected by e-mail)
